India has 63 million MSMEs contributing 31.6% of the GVA and employing 111 million people across all sectors. Yet, an important barrier to these engines of growth remains the lack of access to formal financing channels. As I have pointed out frequently in my articles on this forum, a recent study released by Omidyar-BCG estimates that 40% of MSME lending is through the informal money markets.
Many businesses and their owners may simply have no record with the credit bureaus (the so-called ‘no-hit’); or if they return a file, there may be limited historical indebtedness (a few ‘trade-lines’) to infer anything significant from the data (the so-called ‘thin file customers’). In these cases, lenders lack a reason to take an affirmative call about the credit. This lost opportunity to unlock good credit prospects is a social loss because borrowers that have the capacity to pay but not the ability to signal that capacity are potentially caught in a vicious cycle of informal credit. Lenders also lose out on a potential source of revenue. To illustrate the potential loss in the Indian context, consider this: data reveals that a lender focused on MSMEs has 49% of its credit bureau pings return a ‘no hit’ in the past three months. Another lender with a bias towards retail urban credit also had 25% of its credit bureau pings return a ‘no hit.’
One solution to this credit conundrum is to infer the creditworthiness of the customer from alternative data like his/her payments history. A customer may not have formal historical indebtedness but there is a good chance that he/she has a payments trail across a range of counter-parties like electricity & water suppliers, telecom service providers, and even landlords.
However, in the current policy ecosystem, utilities and telecom service providers are not subject to any regulatory mandate to supply such data. Furthermore, even if regulators create a framework within which utilities and telecom service providers supply such data to the credit bureaus, it is important that they have commercial incentives to share such data so that the model is sustainable.
This article will highlight how such payments data can be leveraged based on market practice; suggest the necessary regulatory changes necessary for credit bureaus to extract this information; and finally, discuss potential commercial models between the utilities/telecom service providers that can work.
Payments Data: What to Look For & Supply-Side
In mature credit information markets, such as the United States, where a framework for aggregating payments data exists, market participants report that (utility) payments data offer a good indicator of delinquency. For a 12-month utility payment data, a lender can calculate:
No. of delinquent occurrences
Most recent multi-month delinquency
It can further be used to observe payment behavior based on the following data points:
Average advanced payment date if any
Average monthly utility payments
No of on-time utility payments
The supply-side ecosystem here comprises of specialized credit bureaus partner with payments-data aggregator platforms on a user-permissioned basis to analyze and award a credit score to the customer that can be presented to the lenders.
Potential Legal & Commercial Framework for India
The applicable law will have to be modified in two important respects to make payment data regarding utilities and telecom service providers available to the credit bureaus. Based on the review of applicable law, Credit Information Companies Act, 2005, and regulations, these modifications are two-fold as follows:
Amend the definition of ‘credit information’ under section 2(d) of the Act by an RBI notification to that effect* to include information in connection with payments made by the customer to electricity & water utilities and telecom service providers.
Amend the definition of ‘credit institution’ under section 2(f) of the Act by an RBI notification to that effect** to include specified electricity & water utilities and telecom service providers as ‘credit institutions’ for the purposes of the Act.
Finally, tertiary and incidental changes may be required in respective sectoral laws of utilities and telecom service providers.
Furthermore, utilities and telecom service providers (as also any other alternative data furnisher that might emerge in the future) will need to have commercial incentives to be motivated to share data with the bureaus. To that end, parties may rely on two alternate models broadly described below:
Fee-based, which pays the furnisher a pre-defined flat fee for sharing data with the credit bureau.
Fee + upside model, which introduces ‘skin in the game’ incentives for the utility and telecom service furnisher of data based on how the portfolio performs relative to time.
In both cases, the credit bureaus may disperse the additional costs among its member universe that benefit from this data.
Notes:\ * = Section 2(d)(v) of the Act empowers the RBI to notify any other matter as ‘credit information.’\ ** = Section 2(f)(vii) empowers the RBI to issue a notification to that effect.
RupeePower is a leading CreditTech company in India. RupeePower’s platform ‘CreditOn’ is a comprehensive digital-first product suite that enables banks & lending companies to transform themselves into state-of-the-art digital lending enterprises at scale. CreditOn provides lenders with flexibility & scale to manage in real time their credit decisioning criteria, sourcing channels, customer onboarding journey, underwriting workflows, and digital partner ecosystem – across the whole range of SME/retail credit. The product suite enables seamless online & offline origination with its acquisition platform, loan CRM, and customizable BRE with instant decisioning & loan origination system. Smart AI/ML-powered tools like KYC Box, Address Match & decisioning based on non-traditional sources of data enable paperless loan origination within a robust credit assessment framework. The CreditOn suite has consistently demonstrated a multifold increase in origination throughput for banks & lending companies while preserving (if not enhancing) portfolio quality. CreditOn has created client success across banks & lending companies with names like State Bank of India, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Standard Chartered, RBL Bank, YES Bank, Mahindra Finance, Fullerton India, AU Small Finance Bank, Edelweiss, and Ujjivan Financial Services. The platform has enabled these lenders to disburse over USD 4 billion in retail and SME credit to roughly 2 million customers over the last four years.\ \ Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are belong solely to the author.